IMedia Brands Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

IMBIDelisted Stock  USD 0.03  0.01  16.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of IMedia Brands on the next trading day is expected to be -0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.40. IMedia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IMedia Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
IMedia Brands polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for IMedia Brands as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

IMedia Brands Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of IMedia Brands on the next trading day is expected to be -0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IMedia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IMedia Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IMedia Brands Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IMedia BrandsIMedia Brands Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IMedia Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IMedia Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.1427
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0229
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1757
SAESum of the absolute errors1.3966
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the IMedia Brands historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for IMedia Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IMedia Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IMedia Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IMedia Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IMedia Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IMedia Brands.

IMedia Brands Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IMedia Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IMedia Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IMedia Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IMedia Brands Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IMedia Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IMedia Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IMedia Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IMedia Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IMedia Brands Risk Indicators

The analysis of IMedia Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IMedia Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imedia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Other Consideration for investing in IMedia Stock

If you are still planning to invest in IMedia Brands check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the IMedia Brands' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities