Indofarma Tbk Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

INAF Stock  IDR 126.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Indofarma Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 126.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Indofarma Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Indofarma Tbk is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Indofarma Tbk Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Indofarma Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 126.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indofarma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indofarma Tbk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Indofarma Tbk Stock Forecast Pattern

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Indofarma Tbk Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Indofarma Tbk's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indofarma Tbk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 126.00 and 126.00, respectively. We have considered Indofarma Tbk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
126.00
126.00
Downside
126.00
Expected Value
126.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indofarma Tbk stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indofarma Tbk stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Indofarma Tbk price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Indofarma Tbk. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Indofarma Tbk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indofarma Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
126.00126.00126.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
126.00126.00126.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Indofarma Tbk

For every potential investor in Indofarma, whether a beginner or expert, Indofarma Tbk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indofarma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indofarma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indofarma Tbk's price trends.

Indofarma Tbk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indofarma Tbk stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indofarma Tbk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indofarma Tbk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Indofarma Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Indofarma Tbk's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Indofarma Tbk's current price.

Indofarma Tbk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indofarma Tbk stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indofarma Tbk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indofarma Tbk stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Indofarma Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Indofarma Stock

Indofarma Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indofarma Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indofarma with respect to the benefits of owning Indofarma Tbk security.