Indo Amines Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

INDOAMIN   174.63  1.11  0.63%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Indo Amines Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 171.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 602.58. Indo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Indo Amines' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Indo Amines' Total Stockholder Equity is increasing as compared to previous years. The Indo Amines' current Property Plant And Equipment Net is estimated to increase to about 2.3 B, while Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease to under 234.3 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Indo Amines Limited is based on a synthetically constructed Indo Aminesdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Indo Amines 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Indo Amines Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 171.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.70, mean absolute percentage error of 339.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 602.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indo Amines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Indo Amines Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Indo AminesIndo Amines Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Indo Amines Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Indo Amines' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indo Amines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 168.03 and 175.66, respectively. We have considered Indo Amines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
174.63
168.03
Downside
171.84
Expected Value
175.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indo Amines stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indo Amines stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria87.1791
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 13.8565
MADMean absolute deviation14.6971
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0817
SAESum of the absolute errors602.5825
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Indo Amines Limited 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Indo Amines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indo Amines Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
170.87174.68178.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
154.58158.39192.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
162.62170.45178.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Indo Amines. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Indo Amines' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Indo Amines' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Indo Amines Limited.

Other Forecasting Options for Indo Amines

For every potential investor in Indo, whether a beginner or expert, Indo Amines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indo Amines' price trends.

Indo Amines Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indo Amines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indo Amines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indo Amines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Indo Amines Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Indo Amines' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Indo Amines' current price.

Indo Amines Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indo Amines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indo Amines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indo Amines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Indo Amines Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Indo Amines Risk Indicators

The analysis of Indo Amines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indo Amines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Indo Stock

Indo Amines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indo with respect to the benefits of owning Indo Amines security.