Intuitive Surgical Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ISRG Stock | USD 538.55 3.55 0.65% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intuitive Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 539.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 348.37. Intuitive Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intuitive Surgical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Intuitive |
Open Interest Against 2024-11-29 Intuitive Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Intuitive Surgical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Intuitive Surgical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Intuitive Surgical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Intuitive Surgical's open interest, investors have to compare it to Intuitive Surgical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Intuitive Surgical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Intuitive. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Intuitive Surgical Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intuitive Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 539.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.90, mean absolute percentage error of 79.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 348.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intuitive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intuitive Surgical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intuitive Surgical Stock Forecast Pattern
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Intuitive Surgical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intuitive Surgical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intuitive Surgical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 537.72 and 541.12, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Surgical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intuitive Surgical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intuitive Surgical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.4684 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.9045 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 348.368 |
Predictive Modules for Intuitive Surgical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Surgical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Intuitive Surgical
For every potential investor in Intuitive, whether a beginner or expert, Intuitive Surgical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intuitive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intuitive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intuitive Surgical's price trends.View Intuitive Surgical Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intuitive Surgical Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intuitive Surgical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intuitive Surgical's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Intuitive Surgical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intuitive Surgical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intuitive Surgical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intuitive Surgical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intuitive Surgical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Intuitive Surgical Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intuitive Surgical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intuitive Surgical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intuitive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Intuitive Surgical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Intuitive Surgical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Intuitive Surgical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Intuitive Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intuitive Surgical to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Intuitive Stock please use our How to Invest in Intuitive Surgical guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intuitive Surgical. If investors know Intuitive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intuitive Surgical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.345 | Earnings Share 6.19 | Revenue Per Share 22.22 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.169 | Return On Assets 0.0795 |
The market value of Intuitive Surgical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intuitive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intuitive Surgical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intuitive Surgical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intuitive Surgical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intuitive Surgical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intuitive Surgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intuitive Surgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intuitive Surgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.