Klil Industries Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KLIL Stock  ILA 28,050  180.00  0.65%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Klil Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 30,451 with a mean absolute deviation of 581.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36,075. Klil Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Klil Industries stock prices and determine the direction of Klil Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Klil Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Klil Industries is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Klil Industries value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Klil Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Klil Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 30,451 with a mean absolute deviation of 581.85, mean absolute percentage error of 830,606, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36,075.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Klil Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Klil Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Klil Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Klil IndustriesKlil Industries Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Klil Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Klil Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Klil Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30,447 and 30,454, respectively. We have considered Klil Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28,050
30,447
Downside
30,451
Expected Value
30,454
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Klil Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Klil Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria133.5783
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation581.8536
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0255
SAESum of the absolute errors36074.9231
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Klil Industries. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Klil Industries. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Klil Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Klil Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28,04728,05028,053
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21,95621,96030,855
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15,76521,93428,104
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Klil Industries

For every potential investor in Klil, whether a beginner or expert, Klil Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Klil Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Klil. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Klil Industries' price trends.

Klil Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Klil Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Klil Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Klil Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Klil Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Klil Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Klil Industries' current price.

Klil Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Klil Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Klil Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Klil Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Klil Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Klil Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Klil Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Klil Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting klil stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Klil Stock

Klil Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Klil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Klil with respect to the benefits of owning Klil Industries security.