KWESST Micro Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

KWESW Stock   0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KWESST Micro Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48. KWESST Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, KWESST Micro's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 448.87 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.50 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 4.9 M in 2024.
A two period moving average forecast for KWESST Micro is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

KWESST Micro Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KWESST Micro Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KWESST Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KWESST Micro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KWESST Micro Stock Forecast Pattern

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KWESST Micro Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KWESST Micro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KWESST Micro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 211.92, respectively. We have considered KWESST Micro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
211.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KWESST Micro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KWESST Micro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.5419
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0082
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.482
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of KWESST Micro Systems price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of KWESST Micro. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for KWESST Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KWESST Micro Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KWESST Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KWESST Micro

For every potential investor in KWESST, whether a beginner or expert, KWESST Micro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KWESST Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KWESST. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KWESST Micro's price trends.

KWESST Micro Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KWESST Micro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KWESST Micro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KWESST Micro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KWESST Micro Systems Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KWESST Micro's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KWESST Micro's current price.

KWESST Micro Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KWESST Micro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KWESST Micro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KWESST Micro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KWESST Micro Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KWESST Micro Risk Indicators

The analysis of KWESST Micro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KWESST Micro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kwesst stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for KWESST Stock Analysis

When running KWESST Micro's price analysis, check to measure KWESST Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KWESST Micro is operating at the current time. Most of KWESST Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KWESST Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KWESST Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KWESST Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.