Leeuwin Metals Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LM1 Stock   0.07  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Leeuwin Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05. Leeuwin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Leeuwin Metals is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Leeuwin Metals Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Leeuwin Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000513, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leeuwin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leeuwin Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Leeuwin Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Leeuwin Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Leeuwin Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Leeuwin Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0007 and 2.37, respectively. We have considered Leeuwin Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.07
0.0007
Downside
0.07
Expected Value
2.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leeuwin Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leeuwin Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.2538
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation8.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0109
SAESum of the absolute errors0.05
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Leeuwin Metals price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Leeuwin Metals. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Leeuwin Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leeuwin Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.072.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.062.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Leeuwin Metals

For every potential investor in Leeuwin, whether a beginner or expert, Leeuwin Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Leeuwin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Leeuwin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Leeuwin Metals' price trends.

Leeuwin Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leeuwin Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leeuwin Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leeuwin Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Leeuwin Metals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Leeuwin Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Leeuwin Metals' current price.

Leeuwin Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leeuwin Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leeuwin Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leeuwin Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Leeuwin Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Leeuwin Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Leeuwin Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leeuwin Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leeuwin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Leeuwin Stock Analysis

When running Leeuwin Metals' price analysis, check to measure Leeuwin Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leeuwin Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Leeuwin Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leeuwin Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leeuwin Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leeuwin Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.