Laird Superfood Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LSF Stock | USD 8.15 0.40 4.68% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Laird Superfood on the next trading day is expected to be 8.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.67. Laird Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Laird Superfood's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Laird |
Laird Superfood Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Laird Superfood's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 7.6 M | Current Value 7.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 12.2 M |
Laird Superfood Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Laird Superfood on the next trading day is expected to be 8.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Laird Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Laird Superfood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Laird Superfood Stock Forecast Pattern
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Laird Superfood Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Laird Superfood's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Laird Superfood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.65 and 15.04, respectively. We have considered Laird Superfood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Laird Superfood stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Laird Superfood stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7443 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3716 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0513 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.666 |
Predictive Modules for Laird Superfood
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laird Superfood. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Laird Superfood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Laird Superfood
For every potential investor in Laird, whether a beginner or expert, Laird Superfood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Laird Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Laird. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Laird Superfood's price trends.View Laird Superfood Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Laird Superfood Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Laird Superfood's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Laird Superfood's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Laird Superfood Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Laird Superfood stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Laird Superfood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Laird Superfood stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Laird Superfood entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Laird Superfood Risk Indicators
The analysis of Laird Superfood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Laird Superfood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting laird stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.61 | |||
| Variance | 43.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Laird Superfood is a strong investment it is important to analyze Laird Superfood's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Laird Superfood's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Laird Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Laird Superfood to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Laird Stock please use our How to Invest in Laird Superfood guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Laird Superfood. If investors know Laird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Laird Superfood listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share 4.211 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.283 | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.1) |
The market value of Laird Superfood is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Laird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Laird Superfood's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Laird Superfood's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Laird Superfood's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Laird Superfood's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Laird Superfood's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Laird Superfood is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Laird Superfood's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.