METTLER TOLEDO Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MTO Stock   1,206  20.00  1.69%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of METTLER TOLEDO INTL on the next trading day is expected to be 1,101 with a mean absolute deviation of 19.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,182. METTLER Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for METTLER TOLEDO - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When METTLER TOLEDO prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in METTLER TOLEDO price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of METTLER TOLEDO INTL.

METTLER TOLEDO Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of METTLER TOLEDO INTL on the next trading day is expected to be 1,206 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.31, mean absolute percentage error of 599.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,021.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict METTLER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that METTLER TOLEDO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

METTLER TOLEDO Stock Forecast Pattern

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METTLER TOLEDO Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting METTLER TOLEDO's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. METTLER TOLEDO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,204 and 1,207, respectively. We have considered METTLER TOLEDO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,206
1,206
Expected Value
1,207
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of METTLER TOLEDO stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent METTLER TOLEDO stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4237
MADMean absolute deviation17.3051
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.014
SAESum of the absolute errors1021.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past METTLER TOLEDO observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older METTLER TOLEDO INTL observations.

Predictive Modules for METTLER TOLEDO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as METTLER TOLEDO INTL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of METTLER TOLEDO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2041,2061,207
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0851,2161,218
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,0781,1771,276
Details

Other Forecasting Options for METTLER TOLEDO

For every potential investor in METTLER, whether a beginner or expert, METTLER TOLEDO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. METTLER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in METTLER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying METTLER TOLEDO's price trends.

METTLER TOLEDO Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with METTLER TOLEDO stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of METTLER TOLEDO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing METTLER TOLEDO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

METTLER TOLEDO INTL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of METTLER TOLEDO's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of METTLER TOLEDO's current price.

METTLER TOLEDO Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how METTLER TOLEDO stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading METTLER TOLEDO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying METTLER TOLEDO stock market strength indicators, traders can identify METTLER TOLEDO INTL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

METTLER TOLEDO Risk Indicators

The analysis of METTLER TOLEDO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in METTLER TOLEDO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mettler stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for METTLER Stock Analysis

When running METTLER TOLEDO's price analysis, check to measure METTLER TOLEDO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy METTLER TOLEDO is operating at the current time. Most of METTLER TOLEDO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of METTLER TOLEDO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move METTLER TOLEDO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of METTLER TOLEDO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.