NEXA RESOURCES Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

NE0 Stock  EUR 7.20  0.10  1.37%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of NEXA RESOURCES SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.92. NEXA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NEXA RESOURCES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for NEXA RESOURCES SA is based on a synthetically constructed NEXA RESOURCESdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

NEXA RESOURCES 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of NEXA RESOURCES SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NEXA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NEXA RESOURCES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NEXA RESOURCES Stock Forecast Pattern

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NEXA RESOURCES Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NEXA RESOURCES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NEXA RESOURCES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.91 and 9.37, respectively. We have considered NEXA RESOURCES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.20
7.14
Expected Value
9.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NEXA RESOURCES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NEXA RESOURCES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.6544
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1722
MADMean absolute deviation0.1933
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0273
SAESum of the absolute errors7.925
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. NEXA RESOURCES SA 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for NEXA RESOURCES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEXA RESOURCES SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.977.209.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.337.569.79
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NEXA RESOURCES

For every potential investor in NEXA, whether a beginner or expert, NEXA RESOURCES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NEXA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NEXA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NEXA RESOURCES's price trends.

NEXA RESOURCES Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NEXA RESOURCES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NEXA RESOURCES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NEXA RESOURCES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NEXA RESOURCES SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NEXA RESOURCES's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NEXA RESOURCES's current price.

NEXA RESOURCES Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NEXA RESOURCES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NEXA RESOURCES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NEXA RESOURCES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NEXA RESOURCES SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NEXA RESOURCES Risk Indicators

The analysis of NEXA RESOURCES's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NEXA RESOURCES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NEXA Stock

When determining whether NEXA RESOURCES SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NEXA RESOURCES's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nexa Resources Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nexa Resources Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NEXA RESOURCES to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NEXA RESOURCES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NEXA RESOURCES is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NEXA RESOURCES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.