Nova Royalty OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NOVRFDelisted Stock | USD 1.23 0.01 0.81% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nova Royalty Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.47. Nova OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nova Royalty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Nova |
Nova Royalty Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nova Royalty Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nova OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nova Royalty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nova Royalty OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nova Royalty | Nova Royalty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nova Royalty otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nova Royalty otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0515 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0404 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0329 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4669 |
Predictive Modules for Nova Royalty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nova Royalty Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.View Nova Royalty Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nova Royalty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nova Royalty otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nova Royalty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nova Royalty otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nova Royalty Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nova Royalty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nova Royalty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nova Royalty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nova otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.13 | |||
| Variance | 9.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Other Consideration for investing in Nova OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Nova Royalty Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nova Royalty's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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