Insight Enterprises Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NSIT Stock  USD 156.45  0.17  0.11%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Insight Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 155.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 179.52. Insight Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 25.10 in 2024. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 3.16 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 44.1 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 338.8 M in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Insight Enterprises - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Insight Enterprises prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Insight Enterprises price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Insight Enterprises.

Insight Enterprises Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Insight Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 155.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.04, mean absolute percentage error of 23.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 179.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Insight Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Insight Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Insight Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern

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Insight Enterprises Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Insight Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Insight Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 153.48 and 158.18, respectively. We have considered Insight Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
156.45
153.48
Downside
155.83
Expected Value
158.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Insight Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Insight Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3979
MADMean absolute deviation3.0427
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors179.5187
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Insight Enterprises observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Insight Enterprises observations.

Predictive Modules for Insight Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Insight Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
152.58154.93157.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
133.57135.92172.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
147.16153.07158.99
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
140.60154.50171.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Insight Enterprises

For every potential investor in Insight, whether a beginner or expert, Insight Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Insight Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Insight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Insight Enterprises' price trends.

Insight Enterprises Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Insight Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Insight Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Insight Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Insight Enterprises Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Insight Enterprises' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Insight Enterprises' current price.

Insight Enterprises Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Insight Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Insight Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Insight Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Insight Enterprises entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Insight Enterprises Risk Indicators

The analysis of Insight Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Insight Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting insight stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Insight Stock Analysis

When running Insight Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Insight Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Insight Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Insight Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Insight Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Insight Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Insight Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.