Prima Alloy Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PRAS Stock  IDR 97.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Prima Alloy Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 97.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Prima Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Prima Alloy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Prima Alloy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Prima Alloy Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 97.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prima Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prima Alloy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Prima Alloy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Prima Alloy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Prima Alloy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prima Alloy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.00 and 97.00, respectively. We have considered Prima Alloy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
97.00
97.00
Expected Value
97.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prima Alloy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prima Alloy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Prima Alloy Steel price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Prima Alloy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Prima Alloy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prima Alloy Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.0097.0097.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.0097.0097.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
97.0097.0097.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Prima Alloy

For every potential investor in Prima, whether a beginner or expert, Prima Alloy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prima Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prima. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prima Alloy's price trends.

Prima Alloy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prima Alloy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prima Alloy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prima Alloy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Prima Alloy Steel Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Prima Alloy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Prima Alloy's current price.

Prima Alloy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prima Alloy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prima Alloy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prima Alloy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prima Alloy Steel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Prima Stock

Prima Alloy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prima Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prima with respect to the benefits of owning Prima Alloy security.