PSP Projects Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

PSPPROJECT   665.10  11.75  1.80%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PSP Projects Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 656.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 837.16. PSP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although PSP Projects' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PSP Projects' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PSP Projects fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, PSP Projects' Non Currrent Assets Other are relatively stable compared to the past year. Long Term Debt is expected to hike to about 437.8 M this year, although the value of Total Stockholder Equity will most likely fall to nearly 5.2 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for PSP Projects is based on an artificially constructed time series of PSP Projects daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

PSP Projects 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PSP Projects Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 656.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.80, mean absolute percentage error of 401.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 837.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PSP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PSP Projects' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PSP Projects Stock Forecast Pattern

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PSP Projects Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PSP Projects' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PSP Projects' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 654.22 and 658.76, respectively. We have considered PSP Projects' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
665.10
654.22
Downside
656.49
Expected Value
658.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PSP Projects stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PSP Projects stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.4035
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.2649
MADMean absolute deviation15.7955
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0249
SAESum of the absolute errors837.1625
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. PSP Projects Limited 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for PSP Projects

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PSP Projects Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
660.77663.04665.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
649.53651.80731.61
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.509.509.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PSP Projects

For every potential investor in PSP, whether a beginner or expert, PSP Projects' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PSP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PSP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PSP Projects' price trends.

PSP Projects Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PSP Projects stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PSP Projects could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PSP Projects by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PSP Projects Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PSP Projects' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PSP Projects' current price.

PSP Projects Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PSP Projects stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PSP Projects shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PSP Projects stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PSP Projects Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PSP Projects Risk Indicators

The analysis of PSP Projects' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PSP Projects' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting psp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in PSP Stock

PSP Projects financial ratios help investors to determine whether PSP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PSP with respect to the benefits of owning PSP Projects security.