Qualigen Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

QLGN Stock  USD 3.76  0.14  3.59%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Qualigen Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.68. Qualigen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Qualigen Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Qualigen Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Qualigen Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
  
As of the 13th of December 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 2.69, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 2.96. . As of the 13th of December 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 5.3 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (17.6 M).
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Qualigen Therapeutics price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Qualigen Therapeutics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Qualigen Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Qualigen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Qualigen Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Qualigen Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Qualigen TherapeuticsQualigen Therapeutics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Qualigen Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Qualigen Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Qualigen Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.94, respectively. We have considered Qualigen Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.76
3.09
Expected Value
9.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Qualigen Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Qualigen Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7266
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7529
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1398
SAESum of the absolute errors46.6817
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Qualigen Therapeutics historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Qualigen Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qualigen Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.3810.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.3812.7819.58
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.4040.0044.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qualigen Therapeutics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qualigen Therapeutics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qualigen Therapeutics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Qualigen Therapeutics.

Other Forecasting Options for Qualigen Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Qualigen, whether a beginner or expert, Qualigen Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Qualigen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Qualigen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Qualigen Therapeutics' price trends.

View Qualigen Therapeutics Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Qualigen Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Qualigen Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Qualigen Therapeutics' current price.

Qualigen Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Qualigen Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Qualigen Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Qualigen Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Qualigen Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Qualigen Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Qualigen Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Qualigen Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qualigen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Qualigen Therapeutics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Qualigen Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Qualigen Therapeutics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Qualigen Stock

  0.73VALN Valneva SE ADRPairCorr
  0.65ERNA Eterna TherapeuticsPairCorr

Moving against Qualigen Stock

  0.84BMY Bristol Myers SquibbPairCorr
  0.84GILD Gilead SciencesPairCorr
  0.66ESPR Esperion TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.43DYAI Dyadic InternationalPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Qualigen Therapeutics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Qualigen Therapeutics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Qualigen Therapeutics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Qualigen Therapeutics to buy it.
The correlation of Qualigen Therapeutics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Qualigen Therapeutics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Qualigen Therapeutics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Qualigen Therapeutics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Qualigen Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Qualigen Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Qualigen Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Qualigen Therapeutics Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qualigen Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Qualigen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Qualigen Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qualigen Therapeutics. If investors know Qualigen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Qualigen Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
3.5 K
Revenue Per Share
1.034
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.137
Return On Assets
(0.75)
Return On Equity
(8.42)
The market value of Qualigen Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Qualigen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Qualigen Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Qualigen Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Qualigen Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Qualigen Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Qualigen Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qualigen Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qualigen Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.