FlexShares Quality Etf Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

QLV Etf  USD 67.64  0.20  0.29%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FlexShares Quality Low on the next trading day is expected to be 67.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.45. FlexShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for FlexShares Quality is based on an artificially constructed time series of FlexShares Quality daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

FlexShares Quality 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FlexShares Quality Low on the next trading day is expected to be 67.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FlexShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FlexShares Quality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FlexShares Quality Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest FlexShares QualityFlexShares Quality Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FlexShares Quality Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FlexShares Quality's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FlexShares Quality's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.49 and 68.49, respectively. We have considered FlexShares Quality's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.64
67.99
Expected Value
68.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FlexShares Quality etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FlexShares Quality etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.5722
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1458
MADMean absolute deviation0.6009
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.009
SAESum of the absolute errors32.4462
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. FlexShares Quality Low 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for FlexShares Quality

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FlexShares Quality Low. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
65.5167.1068.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FlexShares Quality

For every potential investor in FlexShares, whether a beginner or expert, FlexShares Quality's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FlexShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FlexShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FlexShares Quality's price trends.

FlexShares Quality Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FlexShares Quality etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FlexShares Quality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FlexShares Quality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FlexShares Quality Low Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FlexShares Quality's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FlexShares Quality's current price.

FlexShares Quality Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FlexShares Quality etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FlexShares Quality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FlexShares Quality etf market strength indicators, traders can identify FlexShares Quality Low entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FlexShares Quality Risk Indicators

The analysis of FlexShares Quality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FlexShares Quality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flexshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
When determining whether FlexShares Quality Low is a strong investment it is important to analyze FlexShares Quality's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FlexShares Quality's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FlexShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FlexShares Quality to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
The market value of FlexShares Quality Low is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FlexShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FlexShares Quality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FlexShares Quality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FlexShares Quality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FlexShares Quality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FlexShares Quality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FlexShares Quality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FlexShares Quality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.