Relx PLC Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

RLXXF Stock  USD 47.65  0.45  0.95%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Relx PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 47.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.74. Relx Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Relx PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Relx PLC is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Relx PLC 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Relx PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 47.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 1.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Relx Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Relx PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Relx PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Relx PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Relx PLC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Relx PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.99 and 49.19, respectively. We have considered Relx PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
47.65
47.09
Expected Value
49.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Relx PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Relx PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.7587
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0468
MADMean absolute deviation0.7674
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors43.7425
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Relx PLC. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Relx PLC and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Relx PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Relx PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Relx PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.1047.2049.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.3839.4851.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.9247.2848.64
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Relx PLC

For every potential investor in Relx, whether a beginner or expert, Relx PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Relx Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Relx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Relx PLC's price trends.

Relx PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Relx PLC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Relx PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Relx PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Relx PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Relx PLC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Relx PLC's current price.

Relx PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Relx PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Relx PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Relx PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Relx PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Relx PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Relx PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Relx PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting relx pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Relx Pink Sheet

Relx PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Relx Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Relx with respect to the benefits of owning Relx PLC security.