Superior Uniform Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SGC Stock  USD 16.51  0.22  1.32%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Superior Uniform Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.30. Superior Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Superior Uniform stock prices and determine the direction of Superior Uniform Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Superior Uniform's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Superior Uniform's Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.55, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 1.91. . As of December 13, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 12.4 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (34.9 M).
Triple exponential smoothing for Superior Uniform - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Superior Uniform prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Superior Uniform price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Superior Uniform.

Superior Uniform Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Superior Uniform Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Superior Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Superior Uniform's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Superior Uniform Stock Forecast Pattern

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Superior Uniform Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Superior Uniform's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Superior Uniform's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.48 and 18.54, respectively. We have considered Superior Uniform's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.51
16.51
Expected Value
18.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Superior Uniform stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Superior Uniform stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0401
MADMean absolute deviation0.2594
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0162
SAESum of the absolute errors15.3022
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Superior Uniform observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Superior Uniform Group observations.

Predictive Modules for Superior Uniform

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Superior Uniform. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7116.7418.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7617.7919.82
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.2615.6717.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.190.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Superior Uniform. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Superior Uniform's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Superior Uniform's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Superior Uniform.

Other Forecasting Options for Superior Uniform

For every potential investor in Superior, whether a beginner or expert, Superior Uniform's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Superior Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Superior. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Superior Uniform's price trends.

Superior Uniform Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Superior Uniform stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Superior Uniform could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Superior Uniform by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Superior Uniform Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Superior Uniform's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Superior Uniform's current price.

Superior Uniform Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Superior Uniform stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Superior Uniform shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Superior Uniform stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Superior Uniform Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Superior Uniform Risk Indicators

The analysis of Superior Uniform's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Superior Uniform's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting superior stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Superior Uniform offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Superior Uniform's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Superior Uniform Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Superior Uniform Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Superior Uniform to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Superior Uniform. If investors know Superior will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Superior Uniform listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.737
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
0.82
Revenue Per Share
35.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.1
The market value of Superior Uniform is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Superior that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Superior Uniform's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Superior Uniform's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Superior Uniform's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Superior Uniform's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Superior Uniform's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Superior Uniform is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Superior Uniform's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.