Terregra Asia Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TGRA Stock | IDR 20.00 2.00 11.11% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Terregra Asia Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.00. Terregra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Terregra |
Terregra Asia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Terregra Asia Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Terregra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Terregra Asia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Terregra Asia Stock Forecast Pattern
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Terregra Asia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Terregra Asia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Terregra Asia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.89 and 24.11, respectively. We have considered Terregra Asia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Terregra Asia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Terregra Asia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8914 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1475 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5738 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.027 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.0 |
Predictive Modules for Terregra Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terregra Asia Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Terregra Asia
For every potential investor in Terregra, whether a beginner or expert, Terregra Asia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Terregra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Terregra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Terregra Asia's price trends.Terregra Asia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Terregra Asia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Terregra Asia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Terregra Asia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Terregra Asia Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Terregra Asia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Terregra Asia's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Terregra Asia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Terregra Asia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Terregra Asia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Terregra Asia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Terregra Asia Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.11 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 36.87 |
Terregra Asia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Terregra Asia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Terregra Asia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting terregra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.32 | |||
| Variance | 18.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Terregra Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Terregra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Terregra with respect to the benefits of owning Terregra Asia security.