Vornado Realty Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VO7 Stock | EUR 40.50 0.55 1.34% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vornado Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 42.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.86. Vornado Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vornado Realty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Vornado |
Vornado Realty Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vornado Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 42.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 1.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vornado Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vornado Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vornado Realty Stock Forecast Pattern
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Vornado Realty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vornado Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vornado Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.97 and 45.54, respectively. We have considered Vornado Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vornado Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vornado Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3435 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8174 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0215 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.864 |
Predictive Modules for Vornado Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vornado Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Vornado Realty
For every potential investor in Vornado, whether a beginner or expert, Vornado Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vornado Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vornado. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vornado Realty's price trends.Vornado Realty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vornado Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vornado Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vornado Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vornado Realty Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vornado Realty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vornado Realty's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Vornado Realty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vornado Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vornado Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vornado Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vornado Realty Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vornado Realty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vornado Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vornado Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vornado stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.78 | |||
| Variance | 7.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.84) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Vornado Stock
When determining whether Vornado Realty Trust offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vornado Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vornado Realty Trust Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vornado Realty Trust Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vornado Realty to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.