FDO INV Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

VPSI11 Fund  BRL 15.61  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FDO INV IMOB on the next trading day is expected to be 15.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.22. FDO Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FDO INV stock prices and determine the direction of FDO INV IMOB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FDO INV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for FDO INV IMOB is based on a synthetically constructed FDO INVdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

FDO INV 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FDO INV IMOB on the next trading day is expected to be 15.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FDO Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FDO INV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FDO INV Fund Forecast Pattern

FDO INV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FDO INV's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FDO INV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.72 and 17.32, respectively. We have considered FDO INV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.61
15.52
Expected Value
17.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FDO INV fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FDO INV fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.0793
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.5907
MADMean absolute deviation0.5907
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0385
SAESum of the absolute errors24.219
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. FDO INV IMOB 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for FDO INV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FDO INV IMOB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8115.6117.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7716.5718.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FDO INV

For every potential investor in FDO, whether a beginner or expert, FDO INV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FDO Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FDO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FDO INV's price trends.

FDO INV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FDO INV fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FDO INV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FDO INV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FDO INV IMOB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FDO INV's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FDO INV's current price.

FDO INV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FDO INV fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FDO INV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FDO INV fund market strength indicators, traders can identify FDO INV IMOB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FDO INV Risk Indicators

The analysis of FDO INV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FDO INV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fdo fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in FDO Fund

FDO INV financial ratios help investors to determine whether FDO Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FDO with respect to the benefits of owning FDO INV security.
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