WesBanco Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WSBC Stock  USD 34.98  0.26  0.74%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WesBanco on the next trading day is expected to be 35.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.10. WesBanco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WesBanco stock prices and determine the direction of WesBanco's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WesBanco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, WesBanco's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to (0.05). . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 62.4 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 219.8 M.

WesBanco Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the WesBanco's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1989-12-31
Previous Quarter
486.8 M
Current Value
620.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
240.5 M
 
Oil Shock
 
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Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for WesBanco is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WesBanco value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WesBanco Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WesBanco on the next trading day is expected to be 35.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WesBanco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WesBanco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WesBanco Stock Forecast Pattern

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WesBanco Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WesBanco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WesBanco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.85 and 37.51, respectively. We have considered WesBanco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.98
35.18
Expected Value
37.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WesBanco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WesBanco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7829
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6573
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors40.098
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WesBanco. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WesBanco. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WesBanco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WesBanco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.8435.1737.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7131.0438.76
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.7428.2931.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.520.540.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WesBanco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WesBanco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WesBanco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in WesBanco.

Other Forecasting Options for WesBanco

For every potential investor in WesBanco, whether a beginner or expert, WesBanco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WesBanco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WesBanco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WesBanco's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

WesBanco Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WesBanco's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WesBanco's current price.

WesBanco Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WesBanco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WesBanco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WesBanco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WesBanco entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WesBanco Risk Indicators

The analysis of WesBanco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WesBanco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wesbanco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether WesBanco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WesBanco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wesbanco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wesbanco Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WesBanco to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade WesBanco Stock refer to our How to Trade WesBanco Stock guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WesBanco. If investors know WesBanco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WesBanco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
1.44
Earnings Share
2.07
Revenue Per Share
9.341
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
The market value of WesBanco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WesBanco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WesBanco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WesBanco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WesBanco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WesBanco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WesBanco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WesBanco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WesBanco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.