Supercomnet Technologies (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.22
| 0001 Stock | 1.38 0.06 4.55% |
Supercomnet |
Supercomnet Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 1.22
The tendency of Supercomnet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.22 or more in 90 days |
| 1.38 | 90 days | 1.22 | about 10.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Supercomnet Technologies to drop to 1.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.93 (This Supercomnet Technologies Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Supercomnet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Supercomnet Technologies price to stay between 1.22 and its current price of 1.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Supercomnet Technologies has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Supercomnet Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Supercomnet Technologies Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Supercomnet Technologies Bhd has an alpha of 0.1222, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Supercomnet Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Supercomnet Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supercomnet Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Supercomnet Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Supercomnet Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Supercomnet Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Supercomnet Technologies Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Supercomnet Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Supercomnet Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Supercomnet Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Supercomnet Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Supercomnet Technologies may become a speculative penny stock |
Supercomnet Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Supercomnet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Supercomnet Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Supercomnet Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 759.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 147.3 M |
Supercomnet Technologies Technical Analysis
Supercomnet Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Supercomnet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Supercomnet Technologies Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Supercomnet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Supercomnet Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Supercomnet Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Supercomnet Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Supercomnet Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Supercomnet Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Supercomnet Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Supercomnet Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Supercomnet Technologies may become a speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in Supercomnet Stock
Supercomnet Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Supercomnet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Supercomnet with respect to the benefits of owning Supercomnet Technologies security.