Huatian Hotel (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.47
| 000428 Stock | 3.31 0.08 2.48% |
Huatian |
Huatian Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 3.47
The tendency of Huatian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.47 after 90 days |
| 3.31 | 90 days | 3.47 | about 59.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huatian Hotel to stay under 3.47 after 90 days from now is about 59.69 (This Huatian Hotel Group probability density function shows the probability of Huatian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huatian Hotel Group price to stay between its current price of 3.31 and 3.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Huatian Hotel has a beta of 0.98. This suggests Huatian Hotel Group market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Huatian Hotel is expected to follow. Additionally Huatian Hotel Group has an alpha of 0.2275, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Huatian Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Huatian Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huatian Hotel Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Huatian Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huatian Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huatian Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huatian Hotel Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huatian Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Huatian Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huatian Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huatian Hotel Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Huatian Hotel Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Huatian Hotel Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Huatian Hotel Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 687.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (125.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.46 M. | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: We Think Huatian Hotel GroupLtd Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt - Simply Wall St |
Huatian Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huatian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huatian Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huatian Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
Huatian Hotel Technical Analysis
Huatian Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huatian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huatian Hotel Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huatian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Huatian Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
Huatian Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huatian Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huatian Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Huatian Hotel Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Huatian Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huatian Hotel Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Huatian Hotel Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Huatian Hotel Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Huatian Hotel Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 687.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (125.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.46 M. | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: We Think Huatian Hotel GroupLtd Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Huatian Stock
Huatian Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huatian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huatian with respect to the benefits of owning Huatian Hotel security.