Tieling Newcity (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.9

000809 Stock   3.25  0.11  3.27%   
Tieling Newcity's future price is the expected price of Tieling Newcity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tieling Newcity Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tieling Newcity Backtesting, Tieling Newcity Valuation, Tieling Newcity Correlation, Tieling Newcity Hype Analysis, Tieling Newcity Volatility, Tieling Newcity History as well as Tieling Newcity Performance.
  
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Tieling Newcity Target Price Odds to finish over 2.9

The tendency of Tieling Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2.90  in 90 days
 3.25 90 days 2.90 
about 16.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tieling Newcity to stay above  2.90  in 90 days from now is about 16.49 (This Tieling Newcity Investment probability density function shows the probability of Tieling Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tieling Newcity Inve price to stay between  2.90  and its current price of 3.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tieling Newcity has a beta of 0.0275. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tieling Newcity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tieling Newcity Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tieling Newcity Investment has an alpha of 0.7131, implying that it can generate a 0.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tieling Newcity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tieling Newcity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tieling Newcity Inve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.743.255.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.482.995.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.923.435.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.422.983.54
Details

Tieling Newcity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tieling Newcity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tieling Newcity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tieling Newcity Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tieling Newcity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.71
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Tieling Newcity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tieling Newcity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tieling Newcity Inve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 23.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (105.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.54 M.
Tieling Newcity generates negative cash flow from operations
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tieling Newcity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tieling Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tieling Newcity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tieling Newcity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding824.8 M

Tieling Newcity Technical Analysis

Tieling Newcity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tieling Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tieling Newcity Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tieling Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tieling Newcity Predictive Forecast Models

Tieling Newcity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tieling Newcity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tieling Newcity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tieling Newcity Inve

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tieling Newcity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tieling Newcity Inve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 23.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (105.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.54 M.
Tieling Newcity generates negative cash flow from operations
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Tieling Stock

Tieling Newcity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tieling Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tieling with respect to the benefits of owning Tieling Newcity security.