Shaanxi Energy (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.87
| 001286 Stock | 9.66 0.03 0.31% |
Shaanxi |
Shaanxi Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 11.87
The tendency of Shaanxi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.87 or more in 90 days |
| 9.66 | 90 days | 11.87 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shaanxi Energy to move over 11.87 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shaanxi Energy Investment probability density function shows the probability of Shaanxi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shaanxi Energy Investment price to stay between its current price of 9.66 and 11.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shaanxi Energy has a beta of 0.0846. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shaanxi Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shaanxi Energy Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shaanxi Energy Investment has an alpha of 0.1437, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shaanxi Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shaanxi Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shaanxi Energy Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shaanxi Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shaanxi Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shaanxi Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shaanxi Energy Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shaanxi Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Shaanxi Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shaanxi Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shaanxi Energy Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shaanxi Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Those who invested in Shaanxi Coal Industry five years ago are up 294 percent - Simply Wall St |
Shaanxi Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shaanxi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shaanxi Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shaanxi Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.038 |
Shaanxi Energy Technical Analysis
Shaanxi Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shaanxi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shaanxi Energy Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shaanxi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shaanxi Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Shaanxi Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shaanxi Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shaanxi Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shaanxi Energy Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shaanxi Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shaanxi Energy Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shaanxi Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Those who invested in Shaanxi Coal Industry five years ago are up 294 percent - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Shaanxi Stock
Shaanxi Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shaanxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shaanxi with respect to the benefits of owning Shaanxi Energy security.