Risesun Real (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.02
| 002146 Stock | 1.79 0.01 0.56% |
Risesun |
Risesun Real Target Price Odds to finish over 16.02
The tendency of Risesun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.02 or more in 90 days |
| 1.79 | 90 days | 16.02 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Risesun Real to move over 16.02 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Risesun Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Risesun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Risesun Real Estate price to stay between its current price of 1.79 and 16.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Risesun Real Estate has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Risesun Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Risesun Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Risesun Real Estate has an alpha of 0.6626, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Risesun Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Risesun Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Risesun Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Risesun Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Risesun Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Risesun Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Risesun Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Risesun Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Risesun Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Risesun Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Risesun Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Risesun Real Estate may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Risesun Real Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Risesun Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Risesun Real generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Risesun Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Risesun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Risesun Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Risesun Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 B |
Risesun Real Technical Analysis
Risesun Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Risesun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Risesun Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Risesun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Risesun Real Predictive Forecast Models
Risesun Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Risesun Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Risesun Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Risesun Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Risesun Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Risesun Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Risesun Real Estate may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Risesun Real Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Risesun Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Risesun Real generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Risesun Stock
Risesun Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Risesun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Risesun with respect to the benefits of owning Risesun Real security.