Suofeiya Home (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.58

002572 Stock   18.14  0.18  0.98%   
Suofeiya Home's future price is the expected price of Suofeiya Home instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Suofeiya Home Collection performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Suofeiya Home Backtesting, Suofeiya Home Valuation, Suofeiya Home Correlation, Suofeiya Home Hype Analysis, Suofeiya Home Volatility, Suofeiya Home History as well as Suofeiya Home Performance.
  
Please specify Suofeiya Home's target price for which you would like Suofeiya Home odds to be computed.

Suofeiya Home Target Price Odds to finish below 12.58

The tendency of Suofeiya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  12.58  or more in 90 days
 18.14 90 days 12.58 
nearly 4.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Suofeiya Home to drop to  12.58  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.95 (This Suofeiya Home Collection probability density function shows the probability of Suofeiya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Suofeiya Home Collection price to stay between  12.58  and its current price of 18.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Suofeiya Home has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Suofeiya Home average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Suofeiya Home Collection will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Suofeiya Home Collection has an alpha of 0.4815, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Suofeiya Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Suofeiya Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Suofeiya Home Collection. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2118.0021.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4017.1920.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.300.340.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Suofeiya Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Suofeiya Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Suofeiya Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Suofeiya Home Collection.

Suofeiya Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Suofeiya Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Suofeiya Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Suofeiya Home Collection, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Suofeiya Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Suofeiya Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Suofeiya Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Suofeiya Home Collection can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Suofeiya Home appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Suofeiya Home is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Oppein Home Group Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital - Simply Wall St

Suofeiya Home Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Suofeiya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Suofeiya Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Suofeiya Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding963 M

Suofeiya Home Technical Analysis

Suofeiya Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Suofeiya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Suofeiya Home Collection. In general, you should focus on analyzing Suofeiya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Suofeiya Home Predictive Forecast Models

Suofeiya Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Suofeiya Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Suofeiya Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Suofeiya Home Collection

Checking the ongoing alerts about Suofeiya Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Suofeiya Home Collection help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Suofeiya Home appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Suofeiya Home is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Oppein Home Group Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Suofeiya Stock

Suofeiya Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Suofeiya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Suofeiya with respect to the benefits of owning Suofeiya Home security.