Shinil Electronics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,879

002700 Stock   1,404  14.00  0.99%   
Shinil Electronics' future price is the expected price of Shinil Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shinil Electronics Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shinil Electronics Backtesting, Shinil Electronics Valuation, Shinil Electronics Correlation, Shinil Electronics Hype Analysis, Shinil Electronics Volatility, Shinil Electronics History as well as Shinil Electronics Performance.
  
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Shinil Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 1,879

The tendency of Shinil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,404 90 days 1,404 
about 8.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shinil Electronics to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 8.58 (This Shinil Electronics Co probability density function shows the probability of Shinil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shinil Electronics has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shinil Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shinil Electronics Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shinil Electronics Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Shinil Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shinil Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shinil Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4171,4181,419
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4031,4041,560
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,3531,3551,356
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,3681,4501,531
Details

Shinil Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shinil Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shinil Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shinil Electronics Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shinil Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
41.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Shinil Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shinil Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shinil Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shinil Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Shinil Electronics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shinil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shinil Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shinil Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.3 M
Dividends Paid-1.4 B
Short Long Term Debt8.5 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate25

Shinil Electronics Technical Analysis

Shinil Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shinil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shinil Electronics Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shinil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shinil Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

Shinil Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Shinil Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shinil Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shinil Electronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shinil Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shinil Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shinil Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Shinil Stock

Shinil Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shinil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shinil with respect to the benefits of owning Shinil Electronics security.