Muyuan Foodstuff (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.86
| 002714 Stock | 39.07 0.26 0.66% |
Muyuan |
Muyuan Foodstuff Target Price Odds to finish over 45.86
The tendency of Muyuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 45.86 or more in 90 days |
| 39.07 | 90 days | 45.86 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Muyuan Foodstuff to move over 45.86 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Muyuan Foodstuff Co probability density function shows the probability of Muyuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Muyuan Foodstuff price to stay between its current price of 39.07 and 45.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Muyuan Foodstuff has a beta of 0.024. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Muyuan Foodstuff average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Muyuan Foodstuff Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Muyuan Foodstuff Co has an alpha of 0.1348, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Muyuan Foodstuff Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Muyuan Foodstuff
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Muyuan Foodstuff. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Muyuan Foodstuff Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Muyuan Foodstuff is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Muyuan Foodstuff's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Muyuan Foodstuff Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Muyuan Foodstuff within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Muyuan Foodstuff Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Muyuan Foodstuff for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Muyuan Foodstuff can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Muyuan Foodstuff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Muyuan Foodstuff has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 110.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.84 B. | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders in Muyuan Foods are in the red if they invested three years ago - Simply Wall St |
Muyuan Foodstuff Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Muyuan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Muyuan Foodstuff's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Muyuan Foodstuff's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.5 B |
Muyuan Foodstuff Technical Analysis
Muyuan Foodstuff's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Muyuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Muyuan Foodstuff Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Muyuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Muyuan Foodstuff Predictive Forecast Models
Muyuan Foodstuff's time-series forecasting models is one of many Muyuan Foodstuff's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Muyuan Foodstuff's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Muyuan Foodstuff
Checking the ongoing alerts about Muyuan Foodstuff for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Muyuan Foodstuff help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Muyuan Foodstuff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Muyuan Foodstuff has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 110.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.84 B. | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders in Muyuan Foods are in the red if they invested three years ago - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Muyuan Stock
Muyuan Foodstuff financial ratios help investors to determine whether Muyuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Muyuan with respect to the benefits of owning Muyuan Foodstuff security.