Fubon NASDAQ (Taiwan) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 3.46

00671R Etf  TWD 3.41  0.05  1.45%   
Fubon NASDAQ's future price is the expected price of Fubon NASDAQ instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fubon NASDAQ 100 1X performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fubon NASDAQ Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fubon NASDAQ Correlation, Fubon NASDAQ Hype Analysis, Fubon NASDAQ Volatility, Fubon NASDAQ History as well as Fubon NASDAQ Performance.
  
Please specify Fubon NASDAQ's target price for which you would like Fubon NASDAQ odds to be computed.

Fubon NASDAQ Target Price Odds to finish below 3.46

The tendency of Fubon Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 3.46  after 90 days
 3.41 90 days 3.46 
about 7.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fubon NASDAQ to stay under NT$ 3.46  after 90 days from now is about 7.71 (This Fubon NASDAQ 100 1X probability density function shows the probability of Fubon Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fubon NASDAQ 100 price to stay between its current price of NT$ 3.41  and NT$ 3.46  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fubon NASDAQ 100 1X has a beta of -0.53. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fubon NASDAQ are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fubon NASDAQ 100 1X is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fubon NASDAQ 100 1X has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fubon NASDAQ Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fubon NASDAQ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fubon NASDAQ 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.573.464.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.333.224.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.523.404.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.423.573.73
Details

Fubon NASDAQ Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fubon NASDAQ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fubon NASDAQ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fubon NASDAQ 100 1X, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fubon NASDAQ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

Fubon NASDAQ Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fubon NASDAQ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fubon NASDAQ 100 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fubon NASDAQ 100 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Fubon NASDAQ Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fubon Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fubon NASDAQ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fubon NASDAQ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.25M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.38M

Fubon NASDAQ Technical Analysis

Fubon NASDAQ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fubon Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fubon NASDAQ 100 1X. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fubon Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fubon NASDAQ Predictive Forecast Models

Fubon NASDAQ's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fubon NASDAQ's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fubon NASDAQ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fubon NASDAQ 100

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fubon NASDAQ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fubon NASDAQ 100 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fubon NASDAQ 100 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Fubon Etf

Fubon NASDAQ financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fubon Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fubon with respect to the benefits of owning Fubon NASDAQ security.