Moonbae Steel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2602.64

008420 Stock   2,230  180.00  8.78%   
Moonbae Steel's future price is the expected price of Moonbae Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moonbae Steel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moonbae Steel Backtesting, Moonbae Steel Valuation, Moonbae Steel Correlation, Moonbae Steel Hype Analysis, Moonbae Steel Volatility, Moonbae Steel History as well as Moonbae Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Moonbae Steel's target price for which you would like Moonbae Steel odds to be computed.

Moonbae Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 2602.64

The tendency of Moonbae Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  2,603  after 90 days
 2,230 90 days 2,603 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moonbae Steel to stay under  2,603  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Moonbae Steel probability density function shows the probability of Moonbae Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moonbae Steel price to stay between its current price of  2,230  and  2,603  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Moonbae Steel has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Moonbae Steel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Moonbae Steel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Moonbae Steel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Moonbae Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moonbae Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moonbae Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2272,2302,233
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9051,9082,453
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,9191,9221,924
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,0782,3532,629
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Moonbae Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Moonbae Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Moonbae Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Moonbae Steel.

Moonbae Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moonbae Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moonbae Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moonbae Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moonbae Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
111.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Moonbae Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moonbae Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moonbae Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moonbae Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Moonbae Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moonbae Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moonbae Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moonbae Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.6 M

Moonbae Steel Technical Analysis

Moonbae Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moonbae Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moonbae Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moonbae Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moonbae Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Moonbae Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moonbae Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moonbae Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moonbae Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moonbae Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moonbae Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moonbae Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Moonbae Stock

Moonbae Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moonbae Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moonbae with respect to the benefits of owning Moonbae Steel security.