ViTrox Bhd (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.65
| 0097 Stock | 3.81 0.27 7.63% |
ViTrox |
ViTrox Bhd Target Price Odds to finish over 11.65
The tendency of ViTrox Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.65 or more in 90 days |
| 3.81 | 90 days | 11.65 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ViTrox Bhd to move over 11.65 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ViTrox Bhd probability density function shows the probability of ViTrox Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ViTrox Bhd price to stay between its current price of 3.81 and 11.65 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ViTrox Bhd has a beta of 0.98. This suggests ViTrox Bhd market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ViTrox Bhd is expected to follow. Additionally ViTrox Bhd has an alpha of 0.2523, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ViTrox Bhd Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ViTrox Bhd
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ViTrox Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ViTrox Bhd Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ViTrox Bhd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ViTrox Bhd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ViTrox Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ViTrox Bhd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
ViTrox Bhd Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ViTrox Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ViTrox Bhd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ViTrox Bhd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 944.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 255.9 M |
ViTrox Bhd Technical Analysis
ViTrox Bhd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ViTrox Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ViTrox Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing ViTrox Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ViTrox Bhd Predictive Forecast Models
ViTrox Bhd's time-series forecasting models is one of many ViTrox Bhd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ViTrox Bhd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ViTrox Bhd in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ViTrox Bhd's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ViTrox Bhd options trading.
Other Information on Investing in ViTrox Stock
ViTrox Bhd financial ratios help investors to determine whether ViTrox Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ViTrox with respect to the benefits of owning ViTrox Bhd security.