Hanwha Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38700.0

009830 Stock   16,850  90.00  0.54%   
Hanwha Chemical's future price is the expected price of Hanwha Chemical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanwha Chemical Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanwha Chemical Backtesting, Hanwha Chemical Valuation, Hanwha Chemical Correlation, Hanwha Chemical Hype Analysis, Hanwha Chemical Volatility, Hanwha Chemical History as well as Hanwha Chemical Performance.
  
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Hanwha Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 38700.0

The tendency of Hanwha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  38,700  or more in 90 days
 16,850 90 days 38,700 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanwha Chemical to move over  38,700  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hanwha Chemical Corp probability density function shows the probability of Hanwha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanwha Chemical Corp price to stay between its current price of  16,850  and  38,700  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanwha Chemical Corp has a beta of -0.85. This suggests Additionally Hanwha Chemical Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hanwha Chemical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanwha Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanwha Chemical Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,84616,85016,854
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,76915,77318,535
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17,79317,79717,800
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,05716,48917,921
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanwha Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanwha Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanwha Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanwha Chemical Corp.

Hanwha Chemical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanwha Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanwha Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanwha Chemical Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanwha Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.85
σ
Overall volatility
3,353
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Hanwha Chemical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanwha Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanwha Chemical Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanwha Chemical Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hanwha Chemical Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Hanwha Chemical Technical Analysis

Hanwha Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanwha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanwha Chemical Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanwha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanwha Chemical Predictive Forecast Models

Hanwha Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanwha Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanwha Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hanwha Chemical Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanwha Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hanwha Chemical Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanwha Chemical Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hanwha Chemical Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Hanwha Stock

Hanwha Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanwha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanwha with respect to the benefits of owning Hanwha Chemical security.