CJ Seafood (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16969.56

011155 Stock   19,330  4,460  29.99%   
CJ Seafood's future price is the expected price of CJ Seafood instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CJ Seafood Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CJ Seafood Backtesting, CJ Seafood Valuation, CJ Seafood Correlation, CJ Seafood Hype Analysis, CJ Seafood Volatility, CJ Seafood History as well as CJ Seafood Performance.
  
Please specify CJ Seafood's target price for which you would like CJ Seafood odds to be computed.

CJ Seafood Target Price Odds to finish below 16969.56

The tendency of 011155 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  16,970  or more in 90 days
 19,330 90 days 16,970 
about 21.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CJ Seafood to drop to  16,970  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.91 (This CJ Seafood Corp probability density function shows the probability of 011155 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CJ Seafood Corp price to stay between  16,970  and its current price of 19330.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CJ Seafood Corp has a beta of -0.69. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CJ Seafood are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CJ Seafood Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CJ Seafood Corp has an alpha of 0.1573, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CJ Seafood Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CJ Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CJ Seafood Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19,32619,33019,334
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,29615,30121,263
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17,89417,89917,903
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,53217,31419,097
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CJ Seafood. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CJ Seafood's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CJ Seafood's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CJ Seafood Corp.

CJ Seafood Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CJ Seafood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CJ Seafood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CJ Seafood Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CJ Seafood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.69
σ
Overall volatility
801.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.0084

CJ Seafood Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CJ Seafood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CJ Seafood Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CJ Seafood Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

CJ Seafood Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 011155 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CJ Seafood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CJ Seafood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.9 M

CJ Seafood Technical Analysis

CJ Seafood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 011155 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CJ Seafood Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing 011155 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CJ Seafood Predictive Forecast Models

CJ Seafood's time-series forecasting models is one of many CJ Seafood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CJ Seafood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CJ Seafood Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about CJ Seafood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CJ Seafood Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CJ Seafood Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 011155 Stock

CJ Seafood financial ratios help investors to determine whether 011155 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 011155 with respect to the benefits of owning CJ Seafood security.