Samwha Electronics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3010.0

011230 Stock   3,040  300.00  10.95%   
Samwha Electronics' future price is the expected price of Samwha Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Samwha Electronics Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Samwha Electronics Backtesting, Samwha Electronics Valuation, Samwha Electronics Correlation, Samwha Electronics Hype Analysis, Samwha Electronics Volatility, Samwha Electronics History as well as Samwha Electronics Performance.
  
Please specify Samwha Electronics' target price for which you would like Samwha Electronics odds to be computed.

Samwha Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 3010.0

The tendency of Samwha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3,010  or more in 90 days
 3,040 90 days 3,010 
about 51.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samwha Electronics to drop to  3,010  or more in 90 days from now is about 51.35 (This Samwha Electronics Co probability density function shows the probability of Samwha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samwha Electronics price to stay between  3,010  and its current price of 3040.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samwha Electronics has a beta of 0.7. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Samwha Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Samwha Electronics Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Samwha Electronics Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Samwha Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Samwha Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samwha Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,0353,0403,045
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,5582,5633,344
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,8632,8682,873
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,4962,9563,415
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Samwha Electronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Samwha Electronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Samwha Electronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Samwha Electronics.

Samwha Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samwha Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samwha Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samwha Electronics Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samwha Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0049
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
195.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.008

Samwha Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Samwha Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Samwha Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samwha Electronics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Samwha Electronics Technical Analysis

Samwha Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samwha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samwha Electronics Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samwha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Samwha Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

Samwha Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Samwha Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samwha Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Samwha Electronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Samwha Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Samwha Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samwha Electronics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Samwha Stock

Samwha Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samwha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samwha with respect to the benefits of owning Samwha Electronics security.