Kumho Petro (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 53500.0

011785 Stock   51,700  2,250  4.55%   
Kumho Petro's future price is the expected price of Kumho Petro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kumho Petro Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kumho Petro Backtesting, Kumho Petro Valuation, Kumho Petro Correlation, Kumho Petro Hype Analysis, Kumho Petro Volatility, Kumho Petro History as well as Kumho Petro Performance.
  
Please specify Kumho Petro's target price for which you would like Kumho Petro odds to be computed.

Kumho Petro Target Price Odds to finish over 53500.0

The tendency of Kumho Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  53,500  or more in 90 days
 51,700 90 days 53,500 
about 92.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kumho Petro to move over  53,500  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.9 (This Kumho Petro Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Kumho Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kumho Petro Chemical price to stay between its current price of  51,700  and  53,500  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kumho Petro Chemical has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kumho Petro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kumho Petro Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kumho Petro Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kumho Petro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kumho Petro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kumho Petro Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51,69851,70051,702
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46,67146,67256,870
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49,69849,70049,702
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47,71558,37669,037
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kumho Petro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kumho Petro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kumho Petro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kumho Petro Chemical.

Kumho Petro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kumho Petro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kumho Petro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kumho Petro Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kumho Petro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
5,682
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Kumho Petro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kumho Petro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kumho Petro Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kumho Petro Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Kumho Petro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kumho Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kumho Petro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kumho Petro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25 M

Kumho Petro Technical Analysis

Kumho Petro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kumho Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kumho Petro Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kumho Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kumho Petro Predictive Forecast Models

Kumho Petro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kumho Petro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kumho Petro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kumho Petro Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kumho Petro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kumho Petro Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kumho Petro Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Kumho Stock

Kumho Petro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kumho Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kumho with respect to the benefits of owning Kumho Petro security.