KIWI Media (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 399.0
| 012170 Stock | 440.00 5.00 1.12% |
KIWI |
KIWI Media Target Price Odds to finish below 399.0
The tendency of KIWI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 399.00 or more in 90 days |
| 440.00 | 90 days | 399.00 | about 17.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KIWI Media to drop to 399.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.62 (This KIWI Media Group probability density function shows the probability of KIWI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KIWI Media Group price to stay between 399.00 and its current price of 440.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.73 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, KIWI Media will likely underperform. Additionally KIWI Media Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KIWI Media Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KIWI Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KIWI Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KIWI Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KIWI Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KIWI Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KIWI Media Group.KIWI Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KIWI Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KIWI Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KIWI Media Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KIWI Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 92.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
KIWI Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KIWI Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KIWI Media Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KIWI Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KIWI Media Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
KIWI Media Technical Analysis
KIWI Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KIWI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KIWI Media Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing KIWI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KIWI Media Predictive Forecast Models
KIWI Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many KIWI Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KIWI Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KIWI Media Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about KIWI Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KIWI Media Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KIWI Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KIWI Media Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance |