Wonil Special (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8490.0

012620 Stock  KRW 6,840  100.00  1.48%   
Wonil Special's future price is the expected price of Wonil Special instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wonil Special Steel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wonil Special Backtesting, Wonil Special Valuation, Wonil Special Correlation, Wonil Special Hype Analysis, Wonil Special Volatility, Wonil Special History as well as Wonil Special Performance.
  
Please specify Wonil Special's target price for which you would like Wonil Special odds to be computed.

Wonil Special Target Price Odds to finish below 8490.0

The tendency of Wonil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 8,490  after 90 days
 6,840 90 days 8,490 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wonil Special to stay under W 8,490  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Wonil Special Steel probability density function shows the probability of Wonil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wonil Special Steel price to stay between its current price of W 6,840  and W 8,490  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wonil Special has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wonil Special average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wonil Special Steel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wonil Special Steel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wonil Special Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wonil Special

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wonil Special Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,8396,8406,841
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,7706,7727,524
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,5326,5336,534
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,8517,1547,456
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wonil Special. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wonil Special's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wonil Special's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wonil Special Steel.

Wonil Special Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wonil Special is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wonil Special's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wonil Special Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wonil Special within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
205.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Wonil Special Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wonil Special for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wonil Special Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wonil Special Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Wonil Special Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wonil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wonil Special's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wonil Special's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.4 M
Dividends Paid528 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.1 B
Shares Float2.2 M

Wonil Special Technical Analysis

Wonil Special's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wonil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wonil Special Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wonil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wonil Special Predictive Forecast Models

Wonil Special's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wonil Special's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wonil Special's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wonil Special Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wonil Special for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wonil Special Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wonil Special Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Wonil Stock

Wonil Special financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wonil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wonil with respect to the benefits of owning Wonil Special security.