Semyung Electric (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5200.0
| 017510 Stock | KRW 4,170 360.00 9.45% |
Semyung |
Semyung Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 5200.0
The tendency of Semyung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under W 5,200 after 90 days |
| 4,170 | 90 days | 5,200 | about 49.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Semyung Electric to stay under W 5,200 after 90 days from now is about 49.92 (This Semyung Electric Machinery probability density function shows the probability of Semyung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Semyung Electric Mac price to stay between its current price of W 4,170 and W 5,200 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Semyung Electric has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Semyung Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Semyung Electric Machinery will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Semyung Electric Machinery has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Semyung Electric Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Semyung Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Semyung Electric Mac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Semyung Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Semyung Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Semyung Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Semyung Electric Machinery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Semyung Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 503.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Semyung Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Semyung Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Semyung Electric Mac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Semyung Electric Mac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Semyung Electric Mac has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Semyung Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Semyung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Semyung Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Semyung Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.1 B | |
| Shares Float | 9.3 M |
Semyung Electric Technical Analysis
Semyung Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Semyung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Semyung Electric Machinery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Semyung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Semyung Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Semyung Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Semyung Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Semyung Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Semyung Electric Mac
Checking the ongoing alerts about Semyung Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Semyung Electric Mac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Semyung Electric Mac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Semyung Electric Mac has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Semyung Stock
Semyung Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Semyung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Semyung with respect to the benefits of owning Semyung Electric security.