Greatech Technology (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.33
| 0208 Stock | 2.28 0.02 0.87% |
Greatech |
Greatech Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 2.33
The tendency of Greatech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2.33 after 90 days |
| 2.28 | 90 days | 2.33 | over 95.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greatech Technology to stay under 2.33 after 90 days from now is over 95.74 (This Greatech Technology Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Greatech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greatech Technology Bhd price to stay between its current price of 2.28 and 2.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Greatech Technology has a beta of 0.004. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Greatech Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Greatech Technology Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Greatech Technology Bhd has an alpha of 0.0685, implying that it can generate a 0.0685 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Greatech Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Greatech Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greatech Technology Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Greatech Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greatech Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greatech Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greatech Technology Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greatech Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Greatech Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greatech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greatech Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greatech Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 320.4 M |
Greatech Technology Technical Analysis
Greatech Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greatech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greatech Technology Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greatech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Greatech Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Greatech Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Greatech Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greatech Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Greatech Technology in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Greatech Technology's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Greatech Technology options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Greatech Stock
Greatech Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greatech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greatech with respect to the benefits of owning Greatech Technology security.