KCC Engineering (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4012.5

021320 Stock  KRW 4,040  100.00  2.54%   
KCC Engineering's future price is the expected price of KCC Engineering instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KCC Engineering Construction performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KCC Engineering Backtesting, KCC Engineering Valuation, KCC Engineering Correlation, KCC Engineering Hype Analysis, KCC Engineering Volatility, KCC Engineering History as well as KCC Engineering Performance.
  
Please specify KCC Engineering's target price for which you would like KCC Engineering odds to be computed.

KCC Engineering Target Price Odds to finish below 4012.5

The tendency of KCC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 4,012  or more in 90 days
 4,040 90 days 4,012 
about 9.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KCC Engineering to drop to W 4,012  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.07 (This KCC Engineering Construction probability density function shows the probability of KCC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KCC Engineering Cons price to stay between W 4,012  and its current price of W4040.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KCC Engineering has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KCC Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KCC Engineering Construction will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KCC Engineering Construction has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KCC Engineering Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KCC Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KCC Engineering Cons. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,0394,0404,041
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,7963,7984,444
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,0494,0504,052
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,9134,0034,093
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KCC Engineering. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KCC Engineering's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KCC Engineering's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KCC Engineering Cons.

KCC Engineering Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KCC Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KCC Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KCC Engineering Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KCC Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
191.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

KCC Engineering Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KCC Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KCC Engineering Cons can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KCC Engineering Cons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KCC Engineering Construction has accumulated about 93.21 B in cash with (110.51 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

KCC Engineering Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KCC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KCC Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KCC Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments261.8 B

KCC Engineering Technical Analysis

KCC Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KCC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KCC Engineering Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing KCC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KCC Engineering Predictive Forecast Models

KCC Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many KCC Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KCC Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KCC Engineering Cons

Checking the ongoing alerts about KCC Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KCC Engineering Cons help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KCC Engineering Cons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KCC Engineering Construction has accumulated about 93.21 B in cash with (110.51 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in KCC Stock

KCC Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether KCC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KCC with respect to the benefits of owning KCC Engineering security.