Posco ICT (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21,468

022100 Stock  KRW 21,200  1,540  7.83%   
Posco ICT's future price is the expected price of Posco ICT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Posco ICT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Posco ICT Backtesting, Posco ICT Valuation, Posco ICT Correlation, Posco ICT Hype Analysis, Posco ICT Volatility, Posco ICT History as well as Posco ICT Performance.
  
Please specify Posco ICT's target price for which you would like Posco ICT odds to be computed.

Posco ICT Target Price Odds to finish over 21,468

The tendency of Posco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21,200 90 days 21,200 
about 92.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Posco ICT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.45 (This Posco ICT probability density function shows the probability of Posco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Posco ICT has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Posco ICT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Posco ICT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Posco ICT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Posco ICT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Posco ICT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Posco ICT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,19721,20021,203
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19,84419,84723,320
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22,33722,34122,344
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18,94726,08733,227
Details

Posco ICT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Posco ICT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Posco ICT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Posco ICT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Posco ICT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
3,547
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Posco ICT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Posco ICT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Posco ICT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Posco ICT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Posco ICT has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 869.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.92 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.2 B.
Posco ICT has accumulated about 29.62 B in cash with (51.91 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 427.01.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Posco ICT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Posco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Posco ICT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Posco ICT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding151.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments60.5 B

Posco ICT Technical Analysis

Posco ICT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Posco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Posco ICT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Posco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Posco ICT Predictive Forecast Models

Posco ICT's time-series forecasting models is one of many Posco ICT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Posco ICT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Posco ICT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Posco ICT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Posco ICT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Posco ICT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Posco ICT has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 869.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.92 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 113.2 B.
Posco ICT has accumulated about 29.62 B in cash with (51.91 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 427.01.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Posco Stock

Posco ICT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Posco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Posco with respect to the benefits of owning Posco ICT security.