Dongnam Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29,951

023450 Stock   30,100  200.00  0.67%   
Dongnam Chemical's future price is the expected price of Dongnam Chemical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dongnam Chemical Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dongnam Chemical Backtesting, Dongnam Chemical Valuation, Dongnam Chemical Correlation, Dongnam Chemical Hype Analysis, Dongnam Chemical Volatility, Dongnam Chemical History as well as Dongnam Chemical Performance.
  
Please specify Dongnam Chemical's target price for which you would like Dongnam Chemical odds to be computed.

Dongnam Chemical Target Price Odds to finish below 29,951

The tendency of Dongnam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 30,100 90 days 30,100 
about 9.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dongnam Chemical to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 9.57 (This Dongnam Chemical Co probability density function shows the probability of Dongnam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dongnam Chemical has a beta of 0.032. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dongnam Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dongnam Chemical Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dongnam Chemical Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dongnam Chemical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dongnam Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongnam Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30,09930,10030,101
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29,66329,66433,110
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29,95129,95229,953
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29,21829,96130,703
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongnam Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongnam Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongnam Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongnam Chemical.

Dongnam Chemical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dongnam Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dongnam Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dongnam Chemical Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dongnam Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1,347
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Dongnam Chemical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dongnam Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dongnam Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongnam Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Dongnam Chemical Technical Analysis

Dongnam Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dongnam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dongnam Chemical Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dongnam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dongnam Chemical Predictive Forecast Models

Dongnam Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dongnam Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dongnam Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dongnam Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dongnam Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dongnam Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongnam Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Dongnam Stock

Dongnam Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongnam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongnam with respect to the benefits of owning Dongnam Chemical security.