Farm Price (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.53
0304 Stock | 0.53 0.01 1.92% |
Farm |
Farm Price Target Price Odds to finish below 0.53
The tendency of Farm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
0.53 | 90 days | 0.53 | about 7.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farm Price to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 7.5 (This Farm Price Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Farm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Farm Price Holdings has a beta of -0.0305. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Farm Price are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Farm Price Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Farm Price Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Farm Price Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Farm Price
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farm Price Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Farm Price Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farm Price is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farm Price's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farm Price Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farm Price within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Farm Price Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farm Price for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farm Price Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Farm Price Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Farm Price Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Farm Price Technical Analysis
Farm Price's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farm Price Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Farm Price Predictive Forecast Models
Farm Price's time-series forecasting models is one of many Farm Price's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farm Price's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Farm Price Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Farm Price for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farm Price Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farm Price Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Farm Price Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |