Korea Real (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1043.0

034830 Stock  KRW 1,007  8.00  0.79%   
Korea Real's future price is the expected price of Korea Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korea Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korea Real Backtesting, Korea Real Valuation, Korea Real Correlation, Korea Real Hype Analysis, Korea Real Volatility, Korea Real History as well as Korea Real Performance.
  
Please specify Korea Real's target price for which you would like Korea Real odds to be computed.

Korea Real Target Price Odds to finish below 1043.0

The tendency of Korea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 1,043  after 90 days
 1,007 90 days 1,043 
about 46.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korea Real to stay under W 1,043  after 90 days from now is about 46.82 (This Korea Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Korea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Korea Real Estate price to stay between its current price of W 1,007  and W 1,043  at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Korea Real Estate has a beta of -0.0154. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Korea Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Korea Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Korea Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Korea Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korea Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0061,0071,008
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
906.301,2071,208
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Real Estate.

Korea Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korea Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korea Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korea Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korea Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
25.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Korea Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korea Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korea Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Korea Real Technical Analysis

Korea Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korea Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korea Real Predictive Forecast Models

Korea Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korea Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korea Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korea Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korea Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korea Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock

Korea Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Real security.