Barunson Entertainment (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 399.63

035620 Stock  KRW 366.00  9.00  2.52%   
Barunson Entertainment's future price is the expected price of Barunson Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Barunson Entertainment Arts performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Barunson Entertainment Backtesting, Barunson Entertainment Valuation, Barunson Entertainment Correlation, Barunson Entertainment Hype Analysis, Barunson Entertainment Volatility, Barunson Entertainment History as well as Barunson Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify Barunson Entertainment's target price for which you would like Barunson Entertainment odds to be computed.

Barunson Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 399.63

The tendency of Barunson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 399.63  after 90 days
 366.00 90 days 399.63 
about 1.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barunson Entertainment to stay under W 399.63  after 90 days from now is about 1.94 (This Barunson Entertainment Arts probability density function shows the probability of Barunson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barunson Entertainment price to stay between its current price of W 366.00  and W 399.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Barunson Entertainment has a beta of 0.56. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Barunson Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Barunson Entertainment Arts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Barunson Entertainment Arts has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Barunson Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Barunson Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barunson Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
363.81366.00368.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
305.25307.44402.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
330.45332.64334.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
375.44434.21492.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barunson Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barunson Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barunson Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Barunson Entertainment.

Barunson Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barunson Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barunson Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barunson Entertainment Arts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barunson Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
33.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Barunson Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barunson Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barunson Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barunson Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Barunson Entertainment Arts has accumulated about 2.87 B in cash with (6.93 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 346.03.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Barunson Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barunson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barunson Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barunson Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.9 B

Barunson Entertainment Technical Analysis

Barunson Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barunson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barunson Entertainment Arts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barunson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Barunson Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

Barunson Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barunson Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barunson Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Barunson Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Barunson Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barunson Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barunson Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Barunson Entertainment Arts has accumulated about 2.87 B in cash with (6.93 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 346.03.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Barunson Stock

Barunson Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Barunson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Barunson with respect to the benefits of owning Barunson Entertainment security.