SCI Information (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2072.5

036120 Stock  KRW 2,075  5.00  0.24%   
SCI Information's future price is the expected price of SCI Information instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SCI Information Service performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SCI Information Backtesting, SCI Information Valuation, SCI Information Correlation, SCI Information Hype Analysis, SCI Information Volatility, SCI Information History as well as SCI Information Performance.
  
Please specify SCI Information's target price for which you would like SCI Information odds to be computed.

SCI Information Target Price Odds to finish below 2072.5

The tendency of SCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 2,072  or more in 90 days
 2,075 90 days 2,072 
about 8.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SCI Information to drop to W 2,072  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.35 (This SCI Information Service probability density function shows the probability of SCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SCI Information Service price to stay between W 2,072  and its current price of W2075.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SCI Information Service has a beta of -0.42. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SCI Information are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SCI Information Service is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SCI Information Service has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SCI Information Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SCI Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCI Information Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,0672,0702,073
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8991,9022,277
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SCI Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SCI Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SCI Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SCI Information Service.

SCI Information Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SCI Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SCI Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SCI Information Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SCI Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.42
σ
Overall volatility
238.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

SCI Information Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SCI Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SCI Information Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SCI Information generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SCI Information Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SCI Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SCI Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.6 M
Dividends Paid1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments17.9 B
Shares Float14.5 M

SCI Information Technical Analysis

SCI Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SCI Information Service. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SCI Information Predictive Forecast Models

SCI Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many SCI Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SCI Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SCI Information Service

Checking the ongoing alerts about SCI Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SCI Information Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SCI Information generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SCI Stock

SCI Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCI with respect to the benefits of owning SCI Information security.