NEOWIZ HOLDINGS (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19230.0

042420 Stock  KRW 21,500  450.00  2.14%   
NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's future price is the expected price of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Backtesting, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Valuation, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Correlation, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Hype Analysis, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Volatility, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS History as well as NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Performance.
  
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NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Target Price Odds to finish below 19230.0

The tendency of NEOWIZ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 19,230  or more in 90 days
 21,500 90 days 19,230 
about 39.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS to drop to W 19,230  or more in 90 days from now is about 39.56 (This NEOWIZ HOLDINGS probability density function shows the probability of NEOWIZ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS price to stay between W 19,230  and its current price of W21500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NEOWIZ HOLDINGS has a beta of -0.43. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NEOWIZ HOLDINGS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NEOWIZ HOLDINGS has an alpha of 0.3777, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NEOWIZ HOLDINGS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEOWIZ HOLDINGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,49521,50021,505
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,90817,91323,650
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NEOWIZ HOLDINGS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NEOWIZ HOLDINGS.

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEOWIZ HOLDINGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEOWIZ HOLDINGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
1,082
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NEOWIZ HOLDINGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEOWIZ HOLDINGS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NEOWIZ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments350.2 B

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Technical Analysis

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEOWIZ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEOWIZ HOLDINGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEOWIZ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS Predictive Forecast Models

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NEOWIZ HOLDINGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NEOWIZ HOLDINGS

Checking the ongoing alerts about NEOWIZ HOLDINGS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NEOWIZ HOLDINGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEOWIZ HOLDINGS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in NEOWIZ Stock

NEOWIZ HOLDINGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEOWIZ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEOWIZ with respect to the benefits of owning NEOWIZ HOLDINGS security.