Kukil Metal (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1749.44
| 060480 Stock | KRW 1,668 58.00 3.60% |
Kukil |
Kukil Metal Target Price Odds to finish below 1749.44
The tendency of Kukil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under W 1,749 after 90 days |
| 1,668 | 90 days | 1,749 | about 12.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kukil Metal to stay under W 1,749 after 90 days from now is about 12.11 (This Kukil Metal Co probability density function shows the probability of Kukil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kukil Metal price to stay between its current price of W 1,668 and W 1,749 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kukil Metal Co has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kukil Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kukil Metal Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kukil Metal Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kukil Metal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kukil Metal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kukil Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kukil Metal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kukil Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kukil Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kukil Metal Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kukil Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 144.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Kukil Metal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kukil Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kukil Metal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kukil Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Kukil Metal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kukil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kukil Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kukil Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 B |
Kukil Metal Technical Analysis
Kukil Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kukil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kukil Metal Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kukil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kukil Metal Predictive Forecast Models
Kukil Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kukil Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kukil Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kukil Metal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kukil Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kukil Metal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kukil Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Kukil Stock
Kukil Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kukil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kukil with respect to the benefits of owning Kukil Metal security.